Bulgaria's economy in data

What drives growth

What drives the Bulgarian economy?

A top-down view of where growth comes from: which industries contribute, how growth is split between domestic demand and net exports, what Bulgaria sells and to whom, and how the structure of the economy has changed since 2000.

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Where does growth come from?

What does growth look like right now?

IndicatorLatest valuePeriod
Real GDP, annual change+2.8%Q2 2026
Real GDP, quarter-on-quarter change+0.7%Q2 2026
Final consumption+6.2%Q2 2026
Gross fixed capital formation+8.4%Q2 2026
Exports of goods and services+0.2%Q2 2026
Imports of goods and services+8.5%Q2 2026
Contribution: Household consumption+5.1 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Government consumption−0.1 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Gross fixed capital formation+1.6 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Changes in inventories and valuables+0.5 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Net exports−4.3 ppQ2 2026
Statistical discrepancy−0.2 ppQ2 2026

The growth rates of the components do not add up to GDP growth. They show which parts of demand are expanding and which are weakening.

Source: Eurostat: namq_10_gdp

How are the contributions of the components changing over time?

IndicatorLatest valuePeriod
Contribution: Household consumption (to annual growth)+5.1 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Government consumption (to annual growth)−0.1 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Gross fixed capital formation+1.6 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Changes in inventories and valuables+0.5 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Net exports (to annual growth)−4.3 ppQ2 2026
Statistical discrepancy (to annual growth)−0.2 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Household consumption (to quarterly growth)+0.9 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Government consumption (to quarterly growth)+0.02 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Investment+0.4 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Inventories and valuables−3.9 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Net exports (to quarterly growth)+3.5 ppQ2 2026
Statistical discrepancy (to quarterly growth)−0.1 ppQ2 2026
Real GDP, annual change+2.8%Q2 2026
Real GDP, quarter-on-quarter change+0.7%Q2 2026

The contributions shown are those published by Eurostat. "Statistical discrepancy" is the difference between their sum and the published growth, and is separate from inventories.

Source: Eurostat: namq_10_gdp

What contributed to growth in the latest quarter?

IndicatorLatest valuePeriod
Real GDP, quarter-on-quarter change+0.70%Q2 2026
Contribution: Household consumption+0.92 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Government consumption+0.02 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Investment+0.38 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Inventories and valuables−3.94 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Net exports+3.47 ppQ2 2026
Statistical discrepancy−0.15 ppQ2 2026
Real GDP, annual change+2.75%Q2 2026

The contributions shown are those published by Eurostat. Changes in inventories are an official expenditure component of GDP; "Statistical discrepancy" is separate from it and is the difference between the sum of the contributions and the published growth.

Source: Eurostat: namq_10_gdp

Which industries contribute to growth?

Which industry contributes most?

IndicatorLatest valuePeriod
Contribution: Agriculture, forestry and fishing+0.1 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Industry (except construction)−0.6 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Construction+0.2 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Wholesale and retail trade, transport, accommodation and food service activities+0.7 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Information and communication+0.3 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Financial and insurance activities+0.3 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Real estate activities+0.4 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Professional, scientific and technical activities; administrative and support service activities+0.2 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Public administration, defence, education, human health and social work activities+0.5 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Arts, entertainment and recreation; other service activities+0.01 ppQ2 2026
Real GVA, total+2.2%Q2 2026
Contribution: chain-linking residual−0.03 ppQ2 2026

A contribution is not the size of the industry: a small, fast-growing industry can top the ranking. The contributions are an approximation from chain-linked volumes, so the gap to total growth is shown separately.

Source: Eurostat: namq_10_a10

How is the role of each industry changing?

IndicatorLatest valuePeriod
Real GVA: Agriculture, forestry and fishing+3.8%Q2 2026
Real GVA: Industry (except construction)−3.2%Q2 2026
Real GVA: Construction+4.0%Q2 2026
Real GVA: Wholesale and retail trade, transport, accommodation and food service activities+2.9%Q2 2026
Real GVA: Information and communication+3.1%Q2 2026
Real GVA: Financial and insurance activities+4.8%Q2 2026
Real GVA: Real estate activities+4.5%Q2 2026
Real GVA: Professional, scientific and technical activities; administrative and support service activities+3.3%Q2 2026
Real GVA: Public administration, defence, education, human health and social work activities+2.9%Q2 2026
Real GVA: Arts, entertainment and recreation; other service activities+0.9%Q2 2026
Contribution: Agriculture, forestry and fishing+0.1 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Industry (except construction)−0.6 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Construction+0.2 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Wholesale and retail trade, transport, accommodation and food service activities+0.7 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Information and communication+0.3 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Financial and insurance activities+0.3 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Real estate activities+0.4 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Professional, scientific and technical activities; administrative and support service activities+0.2 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Public administration, defence, education, human health and social work activities+0.5 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Arts, entertainment and recreation; other service activities+0.01 ppQ2 2026
Share of GVA: Agriculture, forestry and fishing2.8%2025
Share of GVA: Industry (except construction)19.2%2025
Share of GVA: Construction5.2%2025
Share of GVA: Wholesale and retail trade, transport, accommodation and food service activities22.7%2025
Share of GVA: Information and communication8.6%2025
Share of GVA: Financial and insurance activities6.5%2025
Share of GVA: Real estate activities8.2%2025
Share of GVA: Professional, scientific and technical activities; administrative and support service activities7.2%2025
Share of GVA: Public administration, defence, education, human health and social work activities17.8%2025
Share of GVA: Arts, entertainment and recreation; other service activities1.8%2025

Sources: Eurostat: namq_10_a10, nama_10_a10, nama_10_a10_e

Domestic demand and net exports

How do domestic demand and net exports contribute to annual growth?

IndicatorLatest valuePeriod
Contribution: Final domestic demand+6.7 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Net exports−4.3 ppQ2 2026
Contribution: Changes in inventories and valuables+0.5 ppQ2 2026
Statistical discrepancy−0.2 ppQ2 2026
Real GDP, annual change+2.8%Q2 2026

Final domestic demand is household consumption, government consumption and gross fixed capital formation. Changes in inventories and the statistical discrepancy are shown separately; the four parts add up to GDP growth.

Source: Eurostat: namq_10_gdp

What makes up the current account?

IndicatorLatest valuePeriod
Goods, % of GDP−9.3%Q2 2026
Services, % of GDP+6.4%Q2 2026
Primary income, % of GDP−6.5%Q2 2026
Secondary income, % of GDP+1.2%Q2 2026
Current account, % of GDP−8.1%Q2 2026
Goods, balance over 4 quarters−11,449.2 EUR millionQ2 2026
Services, balance over 4 quarters+7,848.0 EUR millionQ2 2026
Primary income, balance over 4 quarters−7,969.8 EUR millionQ2 2026
Secondary income, balance over 4 quarters+1,527.9 EUR millionQ2 2026
Current account, balance over 4 quarters−10,042.8 EUR millionQ2 2026

The monthly balance of payments data are summed into quarters and compared with nominal GDP for the same four quarters.

Sources: Eurostat: namq_10_gdp, bop_c6_m

What do we sell, and to whom?

What do we sell?

IndicatorLatest valuePeriod
Share of exports: Consumer goods22.4%June 2026
Share of exports: Raw materials40.3%June 2026
Share of exports: Capital goods27.9%June 2026
Share of exports: Energy9.5%June 2026
Share of exports: Other0.0%June 2026

The groups follow the BNB's trade statistics and make up 100% of exports. Shares are over the last 12 months, so that seasonality is not read as a change in structure.

Source: BNB: Foreign trade (FTRD)

Who do we sell to?

IndicatorLatest valuePeriod
Share of exports: Germany15.3%June 2026
Share of exports: Romania10.7%June 2026
Share of exports: Italy7.5%June 2026
Share of exports: Greece5.5%June 2026
Share of exports: Türkiye6.5%June 2026
Share of exports: France3.2%June 2026
Share of exports: Spain2.4%June 2026
Share of exports: Poland2.8%June 2026
Share of exports: Serbia2.1%June 2026
Share of exports: United States2.0%June 2026
Share of exports: Hungary1.5%June 2026
Share of exports: Belgium1.8%June 2026
Share of exports: Netherlands1.9%June 2026
Share of exports: United Kingdom1.6%June 2026
Share of exports: China2.0%June 2026
Share of exports: Austria1.6%June 2026
Share of exports: Czechia2.0%June 2026
Share of exports: North Macedonia1.4%June 2026

Source: BNB: Foreign trade (FTRD)

How has the structure of services exports changed?

IndicatorLatest valuePeriod
Share of services exports: Travel26.6%Q1 2026
Share of services exports: Telecommunications, computer and information services25.8%Q1 2026
Share of services exports: Other business services18.7%Q1 2026
Share of services exports: Transport15.9%Q1 2026
Share of services exports: Remaining services13.0%Q1 2026
Services exports: Travel, 4 quarters4,281.9 EUR millionQ1 2026
Services exports: Telecommunications, computer and information services, 4 quarters4,156.8 EUR millionQ1 2026
Services exports: Other business services, 4 quarters3,013.7 EUR millionQ1 2026
Services exports: Transport, 4 quarters2,569.9 EUR millionQ1 2026
Services exports: Remaining services, 4 quarters2,097.2 EUR millionQ1 2026

"Travel" covers personal and business travel, including spending on education and health care abroad. International passenger transport is recorded under "Transport". "Remaining services" is the residual to total services exports and is not the official "Other business services" category.

Source: Eurostat: bop_c6_q

Is foreign direct investment coming in?

How much foreign direct investment is flowing into Bulgaria?

IndicatorLatest valuePeriod
Equity other than reinvested earnings, 4 quarters297.8 EUR millionQ2 2026
Reinvested earnings, 4 quarters4,386.3 EUR millionQ2 2026
Debt instruments, 4 quarters783.3 EUR millionQ2 2026
All instruments, 4 quarters5,467.3 EUR millionQ2 2026

From the balance of payments (BPM6): transactions, net incurrence of liabilities to direct investors. Reinvested earnings are the undistributed profits of foreign-owned enterprises, recorded as new investment. The three instruments add up to the total.

Source: BNB: Foreign direct investment

How has the economy changed?

How has the economy changed since 2000?

IndicatorLatest valuePeriod
Share of GVA: Agriculture, forestry and fishing2.8%2025
Share of GVA: Industry (except construction)19.2%2025
Share of GVA: Construction5.2%2025
Share of GVA: Wholesale and retail trade, transport, accommodation and food service activities22.7%2025
Share of GVA: Information and communication8.6%2025
Share of GVA: Financial and insurance activities6.5%2025
Share of GVA: Real estate activities8.2%2025
Share of GVA: Professional, scientific and technical activities; administrative and support service activities7.2%2025
Share of GVA: Public administration, defence, education, human health and social work activities17.8%2025
Share of GVA: Arts, entertainment and recreation; other service activities1.8%2025
Employment: Agriculture, forestry and fishing478.8 thousand2025
Employment: Industry (except construction)642.6 thousand2025
Employment: Construction214.7 thousand2025
Employment: Wholesale and retail trade, transport, accommodation and food service activities946.5 thousand2025
Employment: Information and communication151.4 thousand2025
Employment: Financial and insurance activities73.5 thousand2025
Employment: Real estate activities29.8 thousand2025
Employment: Professional, scientific and technical activities; administrative and support service activities276.0 thousand2025
Employment: Public administration, defence, education, human health and social work activities644.2 thousand2025
Employment: Arts, entertainment and recreation; other service activities138.1 thousand2025
Productivity: Agriculture, forestry and fishing151.42025
Productivity: Industry (except construction)193.42025
Productivity: Construction102.02025
Productivity: Wholesale and retail trade, transport, accommodation and food service activities190.72025
Productivity: Information and communication246.12025
Productivity: Financial and insurance activities581.82025
Productivity: Real estate activities87.32025
Productivity: Professional, scientific and technical activities; administrative and support service activities134.82025
Productivity: Public administration, defence, education, human health and social work activities140.42025
Productivity: Arts, entertainment and recreation; other service activities84.62025

The share is at current prices: chain-linked volumes do not add up. Productivity is real value added per person employed, within the industry.

Sources: Eurostat: nama_10_a10, nama_10_a10_e